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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 9.5 per game.

Tyler Herro has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's superb 14.3 successful threes per game on their home court places 9th-strongest in the league this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup.

Compared to last year's 2.3 rate, Tyler Herro's foul shots hit have surged this year to 3.6 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the league while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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