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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 18.1 per game this year.

In comparison to last year's 8.1 rate, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have risen this year to 9.5 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.6 minutes per game this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year in terms of 3-pointers.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Clippers are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (11.4).

The most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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