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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 22.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Tyler Herro has attempted 10.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, opposing starting PGs have registered 20.2 points per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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