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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Compared to last year's 8.1 rate, Tyler Herro's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 9.7 per game.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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