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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Relative to last season's 8.1 rate, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this season to 9.8 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.7 minutes per game this year.

With respect to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a difficult one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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