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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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