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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 8.1 clip, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 9.8 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year.

The Heat check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of treys.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Raptors, designating this as a good matchup.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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