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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.2 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's fantastic 36.8% rate of drained threes settles in as the 8th-best in the league this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.9 three-pointers per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, marking this as a strong matchup.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's sunk overall this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Nets have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production across the board.

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