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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 99th percentile for three-point attempts, registering 9.7 per game this year.

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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