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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2025

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has compiled 23.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 94th percentile.
  • Tyler Herro has converted 3.9 treys per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.3 minutes per game this year.
  • The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for scoring; when the LA Clippers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (42.1%).
  • The 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
  • This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
  • Tyler Herro will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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