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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 9.5 per game.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year.
  • The Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted overall this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on threes (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, making this a challenging matchup.
  • The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat.
  • The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production across the board.

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