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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has put up 23.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 94th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 99th percentile for 3-pointers made, compiling 3.9 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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