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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 94th percentile for shots, posting 17.7 per game this year.

In contrast to last year's 3.2 rate, Tyler Herro's threes hit have risen this year to 4.3 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 0.8 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's outstanding 117.4 points per game while at home comes in as the 10th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (12.2).

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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