Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 94th percentile for shots, logging 17.6 per game this year.
In contrast to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 10.0 per game.
Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 0.8 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Heat.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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