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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 94th percentile, putting up a monstrous 23.6 points per game this year.

Tyler Herro has attempted 11.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Tyler Herro has played 34.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

In terms of offense, the Miami Heat's superb 112.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA over the last 9 games.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 17.1 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive output.

The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to draw fouls.

Tyler Herro ought to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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