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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has sunk a terrific 4.4 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 rate last season.

Tyler Herro has averaged 32.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.0 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of successful threes rates 5th-best in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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