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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has attempted 17.2 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.7 minutes per game since the start of last season.
  • With respect to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
  • Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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