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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 91st percentile for field goal attempts at home, totaling 17.2 per game since the start of last season.

Tyler Herro has made 3.2 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.6 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 1.2 fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season.

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's exceptional 37.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage places 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one; when the Sacramento Kings are away from home, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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