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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2024

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 93rd percentile for shots, totaling 17.4 per game since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 96th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from his home court, tallying 8.2 per game since the start of last season.

Tyler Herro has played 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.8).

The Wizards have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Tyler Herro will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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