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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 33.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's converted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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