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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.

In regard to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a strong one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (3.0).

Tyler Herro has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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