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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2024

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has converted 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

The matchup vs. Chicago is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting squad (9th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (13.7).

The 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

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