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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.

Tyler Herro has made 3.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of successful threes at home comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

The Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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