Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's stellar 38.9% rate of made threes while playing at home settles in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 19.8 foul shots per game when the Utah Jazz are the visiting squad this year (4th-least in the league).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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