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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 18.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro ranks in the 96th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc without the home court advantage, logging 7.9 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production for all stats.

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