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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Tyler Herro has played 33.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's fantastic 37.4% rate of made threes ranks 10th-best in the league this year.

The matchup against the 76ers is a good one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 22nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.7%).

Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.7 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, struggling to get to the foul line.

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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