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Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-143/+108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -143.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 95th percentile for shots taken, posting 17.9 per game this year.Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 98th percentile for 3-point shots hit, putting up 3.3 per game this year.Tyler Herro has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.The Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.Tyler Herro figures to see a rise in productivity for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 38.1% on shot attempts from the field (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, marking this as a difficult matchup.The 3rd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
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