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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 99th percentile for three-point shots made, posting 3.3 per game this year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of converted threes at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have logged 20.2 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has failed to make 10.4 field goal attempts per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.2 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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