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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.1 minutes per game this year.

As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (83rd percentile).

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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