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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile for three-point attempts while playing on the road, compiling 7.4 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's excellent 38.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 25th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%).

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 9.2 clip, Tyler Herro's unsuccessful field goals have increased this year to 10.7 per game.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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