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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has attempted 19.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 16.5 mark last year.
  • Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.8 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.
  • The matchup against Toronto is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
  • Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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