Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 97th percentile for shots taken, tallying 19.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for three-pointers converted, compiling 3.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.5).

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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