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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 6.3 rate last season.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.

The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The matchup against Orlando is a challenging one; when the Magic are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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