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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has successfully made 49.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.6% more than he's made overall this year.
  • Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 treys per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.3 rate last year.
  • Tyler Herro has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
  • The matchup vs. the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the 24th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (17.9).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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