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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has converted 53.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.3 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one; they have allowed the 23rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (19.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

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