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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has averaged 29.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Tyler Herro will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has made 19.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, -14.7% lower than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Tyler Herro has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a hard one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.7).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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