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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 6.3 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The matchup against Gary Harris is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when Harris is at home and facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 7.5 3-point shots per game (100th percentile).

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.

The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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