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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.3 rate last year.

Tyler Herro has played 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup against Andrew Nembhard is a positive one for field goals; when Nembhard is on the visiting team opposing starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 46.4% of their field goals (-193 percentile).

The Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

The Pacers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Andrew Nembhard is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; when squaring off against opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.8 free throws per game (90th percentile).

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