Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 three-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.3 rate last year.
Tyler Herro has tallied 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Heat.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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