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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.3 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 20.9 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has attempted and missed 5.2 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 20 games (40.6%).

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.

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