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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.3 rate last year.

Tyler Herro has sunk a terrific 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.4 rate last season.

Tyler Herro has played 34.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.0%).

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