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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for 3-pointers sunk, posting 3.1 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a good one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are away from home, opposing starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (93rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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