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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.1 threes per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.3 rate last year.

Tyler Herro has played 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Mavericks are the visiting team (5.7).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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