Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has played 29.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has made 19.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, -14.7% lower than he's made overall this year.
Tyler Herro has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 12th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.0).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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