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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has sunk 19.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, -14.7% lower than he's made in all games this year.

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

The matchup against New York is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Knicks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

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