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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 4/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has totaled 5.4 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 94th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year.

Tyler Herro will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).

The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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