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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 5.6 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric over this stretch of games.

Tyler Herro has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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