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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 4.2 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 87th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro stands to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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