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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 4.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best by this standard in recent days: 86th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.8 minutes per game on the road this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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