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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has put up 4.3 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this standard in recent games.

Tyler Herro has played 32.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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